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- Date Submitted: 06/09/2015 10:39 PM
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BUS 640 Week 1 Economics of Risk and Uncertainty Applied Problems (New)

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Problem 1:

A generous university benefactor has agreed to donate a large amount of money for student scholarships. The money can be provided in one lump sum of $12 million in Year 0 (the current year), or in parts, in which $7 million can be provided at the end of Year 1, and another $7 million can be provided at the end of Year 2.

Describe your answer for each item below in complete sentences, whenever it is necessary. Show all of your calculations and processes for the following points:

Assuming the opportunity interest rate is 8%, what is the present value of the second alternative mentioned above? Which of the two alternatives should be chosen and why?

How would your decision change if the opportunity interest rate is 12%?

Provide a description of a scenario where this kind of decision between two types of payment streams applies in the “real-world” business setting.

Problem 2:

The San Diego LLC is considering a three-year project, Project A, involving an initial investment of $80 million and the following cash inflows and probabilities:

Year 0

Initial Investment $80 million discount rate 8%

Year 1 Probability .2 Cash flow $50 million, Probability .3 Cash flow $40 million,Probability .4 Cash flow $30 million,Probability .1 Cash flow $20 million

Year 2 Probability .1 Cash flow $60 million, Probability .2 Cash flow $50 million,Probability .3 Cash flow $40 million,Probability .4 Cash flow $30 million

Year 3 Probability .3 Cash flow $70 million, Probability .4 Cash flow $60 million,Probability .1 Cash flow $50 million,Probability .2 Cash flow $40 million

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